Dalal Street Week Ahead: Sep 8–15, 2025 — Macro, Earnings & Technicals
For the week beginning September 8, the Indian market will be driven by global cues, inflation prints, several company results and key technical levels for Nifty & Bank Nifty. Trading stays active (no NSE/BSE holiday), though Mumbai has a settlement holiday on Sept 8 — expect possible settlement delays.
Macroeconomic & Policy Drivers
Inflation Data (CPI & WPI)
CPI (Aug) is due on Sept 12, with expectations of a slight dip after GST rate tweaks. WPI will also publish this week. Lower-than-expected inflation supports consumption and rate easing hopes; a surprise print would tighten market breadth.
Global Factors
- US Fed commentary, oil and dollar moves: these will shape FII flows and sector rotations.
- US jobs & inflation, China PPI/industrial data: important for exporters, metals and commodity-linked names.
GST Impact
Recent GST slab changes begin to show through consumer prices. FMCG and retail names could see near-term demand benefits if the pass-through is visible.
Major Company Results & Events
Several mid/smallcaps report Q1—expect stock-specific volatility.
- Earnings to watch: HDIL, R M Drip & Sprinklers, Vikram Solar, All Time Plasti, Orissa Minerals.
- SpiceJet: recent losses mean any operational update can move the aviation pack.
Nifty & Bank Nifty — Technical Snapshot
Nifty
Support: 24,500–24,600
Resistance: 25,100–25,200
View: Consolidation in 24,300–25,150. Break above 25,500 = momentum; breach below 24,100 = deeper correction.
Bank Nifty
Support: 53,000–53,600
Resistance: 54,500–55,000
View: Downside risks below 53,550; recovery only if it sustains above 54,346.
Sectoral Trends & Stock Picks
Key sector themes and names to track:
- Auto & Metals: Relative strength on demand and policy tailwinds — watch M&M, Eicher, Maruti, Vedanta.
- IT & FMCG: subdued; wait for global tech stability before adding exposure.
- Stocks to watch: Astral, Cholamandalam Finance, Vedanta, M&M — trading above meaningful technical levels.
Economic Events Calendar (Sep 8–15)
India
- Sept 12: CPI (Aug) — crucial for RBI view.
- WPI (Aug) — affects FMCG, energy and industrial margins.
- Monthly auto sales — informs auto-related names.
- GST implementation effects start reflecting in retail data.
- Sept 8: Settlement holiday in Mumbai (trading continues).
Global
- US: CPI/PPI, jobless claims — Fed preview before Sept 17 decision.
- ECB rate decision; Japan Q2 GDP; China PPI & production data.
- OPEC meeting — oil price risk for rupee & energy stocks.
Market Sentiment & Trading Notes
Sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Traders want a technical breakout (Nifty 25,500 or Bank Nifty 54,500) before increasing risk. Until then, expect range-bound action and stock-specific volatility.
Simple rules for the week: smaller position sizes, tight stop-losses, focus on event-driven trades (earnings, ex-dividend, results). Use option interest levels to spot short-term support/resistance.
Quick Reference — Technical Levels
| Index / Item | Support | Resistance |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,500–24,600 | 25,100–25,200 |
| Bank Nifty | 53,000–53,600 | 54,500–55,000 |
| Heavy Call Writing (OI) | 24,800 (Nifty) — immediate swing level | |
WynWealth Takeaway
Next week is all about reading data and reacting: inflation prints, global cues and company earnings will create opportunities. Be selective — trade smaller, focus on quality names and use our screeners to find event-driven trades.
Actionable tools: Use WynWealth screeners to filter dividend plays, earnings beat candidates and technical breakouts.
This blog is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
